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Consider listing property as part of real asset portfolios for long-term returns, liquidity, and inflationary hedge. This article explores these factors and emphasizes the investment potential of listed property as a complement to real asset portfolios.
The outlook for the global economy and financial markets looks more uncertain today than it has for a long time. Both interest rates and inflation have risen sharply. There is a growing consensus that much of the world will shortly be experiencing slowing economic growth.
While the decarbonisation efforts of Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) have advanced reasonably well in the last five years, it’s what happens next that could be most meaningful for investors.
Credit portfolios with genuine Environmental Social and Governance (ESG) integration could be a canary in the coal mine for potentially difficult-to-quantify risks and opportunities, including those likely to stem from climate change and the energy transition. While governments globally move at different speeds to put in place net zero policies, ESG-focused credit investors are taking decisive, early action to reflect these factors in their portfolio allocations.
As more carbon emission regulation comes in globally – as we expect it will – Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) with emission reduction plans are likely to be better-placed than their peers as the cost of carbon increases.
Investing in property securities provides investors with an opportunity to exploit trends in various property sectors through the listed property trust market, without the significant transaction costs that typically apply when investing in direct property.
With strong long term growth prospects and a track record of resilience through economic downturns, this increasingly institutionalised property sector is a defensive play for investors.
Once again, 2021 was a year full of surprises and challenges, with ongoing Covid disruptions and China turning from a global outperformer to underperformer. The Chinese government’s policy crackdowns, especially in the internet, education and property sectors, were sudden and dramatic. Meanwhile, inflation globally has moved from “transitory” to an ongoing threat to stability, coercing central banks like the US Federal Reserve to tighten from record levels of money supply, with its dampening effect being felt on correspondingly high stock prices. Fed tightening will likely affect Hong Kong markets as well, given the city’s currency and interest rates linkage to the US. Over the past year, the Hang Seng Index has underperformed the Shanghai Composite by nearly 20 percentage points, mostly in the second half of 2021 as US inflation heated up, and the premium of A-shares over H-shares widened for large companies listed in both markets. The year ahead also looks like a mixed picture — China is turning more accommodative in its policies but new Covid variants and persistent inflation remain key risks. The question on many investors’ minds is whether China can claw back its strong performance of previous years, which seems fitting as we enter the year of the tiger in the Chinese horoscope.
Despite China being the first country to face the challenges of Covid, early optimism around its control over the virus seems to have waned. As Chinese cities and provinces continue to battle against new variants and local surges, consumer spending is down and the economy is starting to slow. On top of that, there have been increasingly cumbersome regulations on Chinese technology companies, the medical sector and the property market – the latter causing the implosion of a number of property developers late last year. The Chinese government has now shifted to a more accommodating stance in a bid to stabilise the economy. But its “Common Prosperity” goal and zero-Covid policy is likely here to stay. Against this backdrop, FSSA’s portfolio managers discuss their views about the changing opportunity set in China – and how they have positioned the team’s China portfolios to tap into the longer-term growth story.
East Cermak has over 1.1 million square foot of gross lettable area and draws on over 100 megawatts of power from three separate grids. To put its power output in perspective, it’s the equivalent of the amount of power used by 100,000 households.
While the pandemic is still far from over, a number of key leading indicators point to a healthy and broad-based recovery in China. Industrial production, trade activity and retail sales have been strong; and in stark contrast to the lockdowns and travel restrictions in early 2020, domestic travel, tourism and the leisure sectors in China have sprung back to life.
An important part of our approach has been the work of our climate change working group which concluded its research earlier this year.
What will 2021 look like for China? 2021 will be a year of recovery. This is not surprising given last year’s economic downturn. If vaccines are being rolled out gradually during the year, we believe the economy will recover, especially those sectors that have been hit hard like travel. Hong Kong’s travel sector declined by 99.9% last year so there really isn’t much room left to decline.
Australia currently has a unique opportunity to set up a framework that can support investment aligned with the nation’s sustainability goals, by means of the Australian Sustainable Finance Strategy (“the Strategy”).
2024 was a good year for global listed infrastructure. Strong earnings for energy midstream and a step-change in the earnings growth outlook for utilities helped the asset class to shrug off rising bond yields and political uncertainty.
Climate related litigation against directors and trustees is increasing globally. As the science around climate change evolves, how companies prepare for and manage these issues will be increasingly in the spotlight. As climate impacts grow, so do the duties, risks and implications for both companies and investors. Below is a brief summary of the fourth Climate Change Whitepaper – Fiduciary & Directors duties and legal risks for companies.
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